http://benthome.com/blog A Centrist Blog-site for Minnesota Wed, 22 Jul 2009 19:34:54 +0000 http://backend.userland.com/rss092 en This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below: Password: http://benthome.com/blog/?p=47 This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below: Password: http://benthome.com/blog/?p=45 Final official NWMetro predictions: Firstly, I'm changing my prediction for Missouri from the Senate map and am now predicting a Democratic victory there. Governor: Pawlenty — 46% Hatch — 40% Hutchinson — 14% Senate: Klobuchar — 49% Kennedy — 44% Fitzgerald — 7% CD 5: Ellison — 35% Fine — 30% Lee — 35% CD 6: Bachman — 48% Wetterling — 47% Binkowski — 5% CD 1: Gutknecht — ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=42 I've just posted a page (see upper right-hand corner), for my predictions for the Senate 2006 elections. Summarizing the map, 49 Democrats to 51 Republicans. In this summary, I count the Independent wins as Democrats since they will caucus with the Dems. I may change this if there is a significant ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=39 A slate of recent polls shows Hatch has some strength to oust Pawlenty.  However, it's still a very close ballgame.  Election day has a nasty habit of throwing us surprises.  Crystal Ball Pawlenty — 42% Hatch — 44% Hutchinson — 9% Up for grabs:  5% http://benthome.com/blog/?p=37 If one believes polls, and I generally take them with a grain of salt, it appears the Republicans are suffering.  Depending on the polls you look at, it could be that that the Dems take both the House and the Senate...a feat thought nigh near impossible earlier this year.  I ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=36 So, www.electoral-vote.com now shows the Republicans with a 51:48:1 lead where the 1 is a statistical tie.  Republicans regained their momentum in Tennessee and took the lead (if ever so slightly) in Missouri. In Minnesota, Klobuchar is in the lead in a SurveyUSA poll 51% to 43% and Fitzgerald taking 2%.  ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=34 Okay, the Klobuchar camp has to be ecstatic about the last two polls.  And following the polls has got to be giving the Fitzgerald camp a head-ache...up, down, up, down, left, right, up, down....well you get the picture.  UoM/Humphrey Inst's poll shows Klobuchar at 52%, Kennedy at 36% and Fitzgerald ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=33 Three new polls to report today.  MPR (via Mason Dixon) release their poll showing Pawlenty slightly ahead of Hatch but still within the margin of error (42% to 39%).  Hutchinson is sitting at 5% and (in the few that list it) Pentel at 2%.  The Humphrey Institute release their poll ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=32 Okay, maybe a little overboard there, but how does the STrib consistantly show Klobuchar trouncing Kennedy in their polls when every other poll is showing a tight race?!  Since personally, I like to keep my numbers clean, I won't use them in my Crystal Ball, however, I will post them ... http://benthome.com/blog/?p=31